ISW estimates of enemy losses during the fall 2024 offensive
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During the fall offensive of 2024, Russian troops lost about 53 soldiers per square kilometer. In November, Russian losses reached a historic high — more than 2,000 Russian personnel per day.
This was reported by analysts of the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) on Thursday, December 5.
Russian losses at the front
According to ISW analysts, during the advance in the fall of 2024, Russian forces lost approximately 53 soldiers per square kilometer, which is an indicator of heavy losses for the Russian army.
"The Kremlin continues to suffer significant losses in manpower as it attempts to make tactical gains in the western part of the Donetsk region at the expense of Russia's ongoing military efforts and the medium-term capacity of the Russian economy," the statement said.
According to the UK Ministry of Defense, which is based on information from the Ukrainian General Staff of the Armed Forces, in November 2024, Russian losses reached a new historical high of 1,523 deaths per day.
At the same time, on November 28, for the first time, more than 2,000 Russian deaths were recorded in a single day. In total, the Russians lost about 45,690 servicemen over the month, and November was the fifth consecutive month in which their losses have been increasing.
"Thus, Russian troops suffered losses of approximately 125,800 people during the period of intense offensive operations in September, October, and November 2024 in exchange for 2,356 square kilometers of gains," the analysts write.
It is noted that Russian troops advanced at a rate of approximately 27.96 square kilometers per day and captured a total of 839 square kilometers in Ukraine and the Kursk region in November this year.
"Russia's limited manpower resources will likely not be able to sustain this increase in casualties in the medium term, and continued Western military support for Ukraine remains vital to Ukraine's ability to inflict casualties at this rate," ISW experts emphasized.
They point out that the Russians can either fight in Ukraine or work for Russia's domestic economy, but they cannot do both at the same time.
Ben Hodges, a military analyst and former commander of the U.S. Army in Europe, assesses the current situation in Ukraine as difficult, but with the possibility of achieving victory.
Earlier, we wrote that the United States is calling on Ukraine to lower the age of mobilization to 18. They believe that this will change the fighting strength of the Ukrainian army.
